Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 3.165929 3.776317 4.457488 5.271762 6.216311 7.275043 8.549093
2025-11-23 2.292670 3.073871 4.036846 5.301933 6.909737 8.873544 11.440947
2025-11-30 1.731396 2.562372 3.675311 5.254667 7.414141 10.235845 14.168567
2025-12-07 1.296170 2.096515 3.250497 5.002321 7.552921 11.081368 16.268673
2025-12-14 1.042266 1.823768 3.025784 4.959823 7.930205 12.240801 18.864681
2025-12-21 0.858275 1.614680 2.848747 4.941135 8.310976 13.411314 21.556408
2025-12-28 0.771244 1.545043 2.873111 5.227353 9.173220 15.358016 25.553710
2026-01-04 0.675437 1.438924 2.815354 5.361874 9.795012 16.976508 29.172380
2026-01-11 0.608035 1.371202 2.810634 5.579264 10.566628 18.887599 33.396344
2026-01-18 0.524943 1.255288 2.697890 5.583959 10.964226 20.208024 36.752110
2026-01-25 0.435215 1.106516 2.497529 5.395158 10.988876 20.888581 39.077047
2026-02-01 0.361736 0.977176 2.313747 5.209419 10.990379 21.515368 41.339841
2026-02-08 0.315172 0.901555 2.232278 5.222234 11.378895 22.881782 45.043598
2026-02-15 0.275335 0.833613 2.156581 5.236608 11.771358 24.288175 48.930347
2026-02-22 0.237058 0.760641 2.057078 5.185131 12.022929 25.447265 52.445583
2026-03-01 0.193436 0.662009 1.879671 4.934384 11.831053 25.734573 54.340986
2026-03-08 0.167487 0.606995 1.798773 4.891978 12.073624 26.885539 57.961131
2026-03-15 0.146335 0.560859 1.732206 4.873388 12.363674 28.149921 61.885230
2026-03-22 0.139995 0.560274 1.786050 5.156070 13.356055 30.921953 68.982745
2026-03-29 0.128396 0.539333 1.780754 5.288941 14.016658 33.049120 74.913151
2026-04-05 0.120653 0.529811 1.806093 5.503690 14.888220 35.682324 82.040409
2026-04-12 0.107156 0.495827 1.754536 5.508327 15.258118 37.262290 87.080601
2026-04-19 0.090241 0.443664 1.638609 5.321815 15.141883 37.768461 89.890474